Welcome

I currently hold the appointment of Senior Research Fellow in the Department of Politics and Public Administration at the University of Hong Kong (HKU).

My core research revolves around the theory of constraints that binds the initiation and intensity of modern militarized interstate disputes. By tracing the evolution of the global arms industry since World War II, I argue that the implementation of just-in-time production processes resulted in the inadvertent development of an arms constraint that limits states from building arsenals that can initiate and sustain intense long-term militarized disputes. As such, prolonged high-intensity militarized disputes are an artifact of historical conflict behavior that can no longer occur due to the characteristics of the modern global arms industry.

My current other research focus is a coauthored project on developing a more accurate framework for understanding sanction and trade barrier effectiveness based on network models. This project is based on the intuition that any attempt at sanctions and trade barriers would inevitably have spillover effects that could, in turn, undermine the sanctions and trade barriers themselves. Using a technique derived from the method of reflections, we attempt to model and measure the propagative supradyadic effects of sanctions and trade barriers, identifying potential conditions for coercive success through sanctions and trade barriers.

I obtained my Ph.D. in Political Science and my M.S. in Statistics at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). I was previously a Niehaus Postdoctoral Fellow at Princeton University (2025-2026) and a Hans J. Morgenthau fellow at the University of Notre Dame (2024-2025).

Contact

Cartland Zhou
Email: cartland_at_hku.hk